{"product_id":"superforecasting-philip-e-tetlock","title":"Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner","description":"\u003ch2\u003e\n\u003cem\u003eSuperforecasting\u003c\/em\u003e by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner\u003c\/h2\u003e\n\u003cp\u003ePhilip Tetlock spent twenty years scoring expert predictions and found that the average expert was no better than chance. Then he ran a tournament, and a group of volunteers — a pharmacist, a retired computer programmer, a housewife — began beating intelligence analysts with classified access.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe book is about what those superforecasters do differently: they break big questions into small ones, think in probabilities rather than stories, update their views in tiny increments, and are far more interested in being accurate than in being interesting. Almost all of it is learnable.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eOne of the most influential books on judgement of the last decade, and a favourite in finance and policy.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e📚 Book Specifications\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e✅ Premium Quality Books.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e✅ High Printing quality.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e✅ Eye Friendly.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e✅ Matt cover (Paperback)\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Book Tank BD","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":48027596030089,"sku":null,"price":260.0,"currency_code":"BDT","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0624\/7038\/9897\/files\/1030_superforecasting-the-art-and-science-of-prediction-by-philip.jpg?v=1787856947","url":"https:\/\/booktankbd.com\/products\/superforecasting-philip-e-tetlock","provider":"Book Tank BD","version":"1.0","type":"link"}