Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Philip Tetlock spent twenty years scoring expert predictions and found that the average expert was no better than chance. Then he ran a tournament, and a group of volunteers — a pharmacist, a retired computer programmer, a housewife — began beating intelligence analysts with classified access.

The book is about what those superforecasters do differently: they break big questions into small ones, think in probabilities rather than stories, update their views in tiny increments, and are far more interested in being accurate than in being interesting. Almost all of it is learnable.

One of the most influential books on judgement of the last decade, and a favourite in finance and policy.

📚 Book Specifications

✅ Premium Quality Books.

✅ High Printing quality.

✅ Eye Friendly.

✅ Matt cover (Paperback)